Government Dependent Counties – Voting Patterns

Here is the election breakdown and demographics from America’s 100 most welfare-dependent counties. Statistics on welfare dependence are drawn from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and comes with a big thank you to Brian Kelsey at Civic Analytics.

Area % TPI Rank Obama Total Racial Majority
Owsley, KY 54.5% 1 17.9% White
Wolfe, KY 52.8% 2 38.1% White
McCreary, KY 52.8% 3 18.7% White
Holmes, MS 49.1% 4 84.1% Black
Lake, TN 48.8% 5 42.4% White
Magoffin, KY 48.1% 6 29.2% White
Hancock, GA 47.6% 7 80.9% Black
Hickory, MO 47.5% 8 37.0% White
Lee, KY 47.2% 9 22.7% White
Hancock, TN 47.1% 10 23.2% White
Clay, KY 47.0% 11 15.0% White
Menifee, KY 46.2% 13 40.3% White
Cumberland, KY 45.9% 14 21.0% White
Breathitt, KY 45.6% 16 31.2% White
Bell, KY 45.1% 17 23.5% White
Sharp, AR 45.1% 18 28.7% White
Clinton, KY 44.9% 19 17.1% White
Jackson, KY 44.6% 20 12.1% White
Leslie, KY 44.6% 21 8.7% White
Wilcox, AL 44.2% 23 74.3% Black
Scott, TN 43.7% 26 21.8% White
Grundy, TN 43.6% 27 38.8% White
Elliott, KY 43.4% 28 49.4% White
Ripley, MO 43.3% 29 26.5% White
Starr, TX 43.3% 30 86.3% Hispanic
Jefferson, MS 43.3% 31 89.1% Black
Estill, KY 43.2% 32 26.2% White
Ozark, MO 43.1% 34 28.3% White
McDowell, WV 43.0% 35 34.1% White
Wayne, MO 42.9% 37 31.7% White
Sumter, FL 42.9% 38 32.3% White
Mora, NM 42.9% 40 74.9% Hispanic
Summers, WV 42.9% 41 34.2% White
Apache, AZ 42.9% 42 66.2% Native Am.
Harlan, KY 42.6% 44 17.2% White
Lewis, KY 42.5% 45 28.1% White
Reynolds, MO 42.5% 46 36.1% White
San Augustine, TX 42.4% 47 32.3% White
Hall, TX 42.3% 48 23.9% White
Martin, KY 42.1% 49 15.0% White
Monroe, KY 42.1% 50 19.7% White
Claiborne, MS 42.1% 51 88.2% Black
Wayne, KY 42.0% 52 25.7% White
Dixie, FL 41.9% 53 25.9% White
Calhoun, WV 41.5% 54 37.1% White
Webster, MS 41.2% 55 22.7% White
Pickett, TN 41.2% 57 29.0% White
Perry, TN 41.1% 58 37.8% White
Oregon, MO 41.0% 60 32.1% White
Fentress, TN 41.0% 61 22.6% White
Whitley, KY 41.0% 62 20.5% White
Knott, KY 40.9% 63 24.9% White
Shannon, MO 40.8% 64 35.3% White
Webster, WV 40.8% 65 34.4% White
Brooks, TX 40.8% 66 78.5% Hispanic
Telfair, GA 40.7% 68 41.6% White
Sabine, TX 40.7% 69 17.6% White
Carter, MO 40.7% 70 26.9% White
Knox, KY 40.6% 71 22.4% White
Sierra, NM 40.5% 72 38.5% White
Cherokee, NC 40.4% 74 26.3% White
Humphreys, MS 40.3% 75 74.9% Black
Sharkey, MS 40.3% 76 70.4% Black
Wayne, TN 40.2% 77 21.2% White
Quitman, MS 40.2% 78 71.3% Black
Searcy, AR 40.2% 79 22.0% White
Iron, MO 40.0% 80 41.4% White
Dickens, TX 40.0% 81 21.2% White
Stone, AR 40.0% 82 25.3% White
Benton, MS 39.9% 83 49.8% White
Metcalfe, KY 39.9% 84 34.1% White
Guadalupe, NM 39.8% 85 69.7% Hispanic
Johnson, GA 39.7% 86 34.6% White
Navajo, AZ 39.7% 87 45.2% Native Am.
Benton, MO 39.7% 89 31.9% White
McCormick, SC 39.6% 90 51.4% Black
Cocke, TN 39.5% 91 24.5% White
Perry, AL 39.4% 92 74.9% Black
Floyd, KY 39.4% 93 31.8% White
Letcher, KY 39.3% 94 19.4% White
Van Buren, TN 39.3% 95 38.0% White
Greene, TN 39.2% 96 26.1% White
Lawrence, KY 39.2% 97 27.2% White
Johnson, KY 39.2% 98 19.1% White
Marion, SC 39.1% 99 64.6% Black
Rockcastle, KY 39.0% 100 17.6% White
Montmorency, MI 46.9% 12 40.6% White
Roscommon, MI 45.7% 15 47.6% White
Oscoda, MI 44.3% 22 41.0% White
Shannon, SD 44.2% 24 93.4% Black
Iosco, MI 43.8% 25 46.8% White
Zavala, TX 43.2% 33 83.3% Hispanic
Ontonagon, MI 42.9% 36 44.8% White
Lake, MI 42.9% 39 52.1% White
Alcona, MI 42.7% 43 40.5% White
Alexander, IL 41.2% 56 56.1% White
Ogemaw, MI 41.1% 59 46.2% White
Gladwin, MI 40.7% 67 45.8% White
Huerfano, CO 40.5% 73 52.6% White
Luce, MI 39.7% 88 38.2% White

Comparing Romney’s Performance to GOP Gubernatorial Candidates

GOP Governors
Romney Range
Washington 41.70% 48.80% 7.10%
Vermont 31.20% 37.70% 6.50%
North Dakota 58.70% 63.20% 4.50%
North Carolina 50.60% 54.70% 4.10%
New Hampshire 46.40% 42.50% -3.90%
Utah 72.80% 68.40% -4.40%
Indiana 54.30% 49.60% -4.70%
Montana 55.30% 47.30% -8.00%
Missouri 53.90% 42.60% -11.30%
Delaware 40.00% 28.60% -11.40%
West Virginia 62.30% 45.70% -16.60%

Comparing Romney’s Election Performance to Republican Senate Candidates

GOP Senate Candidate
Romney Range
Hawaii 27.80% 37.40% 9.60%
Massachusetts 37.60% 46.30% 8.70%
Wyoming 69.30% 75.90% 6.60%
Tennessee 59.50% 64.90% 5.40%
Connecticut 40.40% 43.20% 2.80%
New Mexico 43.00% 45.40% 2.40%
Mississippi 55.50% 57.40% 1.90%
Nevada 45.70% 45.90% 0.20%
California 38.30% 38.40% 0.10%
Wisconsin 46.10% 45.90% -0.20%
Rhode Island 35.50% 35.20% -0.30%
Virginia 47.80% 47.50% -0.30%
Texas 57.20% 56.60% -0.60%
New Jersey 40.90% 39.80% -1.10%
Washington 41.70% 39.80% -1.90%
Pennsylvania 46.80% 44.70% -2.10%
Nebraska 60.50% 58.20% -2.30%
Ohio 48.20% 45.10% -3.10%
Arizona 54.20% 49.70% -4.50%
Vermont 31.20% 24.80% -6.40%
Michigan 44.80% 38.00% -6.80%
Florida 49.10% 42.20% -6.90%
Utah 72.80% 65.20% -7.60%
North Dakota 58.70% 49.50% -9.20%
New York 36.00% 26.70% -9.30%
Maryland 36.60% 26.60% -10.00%
Indiana 54.30% 44.30% -10.00%
Maine 40.90% 30.70% -10.20%
Montana 55.30% 44.80% -10.50%
Delaware 40.00% 29.00% -11.00%
Minnesota 45.10% 30.60% -14.50%
Missouri 53.90% 39.20% -14.70%
West Virginia 62.30% 36.50% -25.80%

Strom Thurmond’s Acceptance Speech at the 1948 Convention of the States’ Rights Democrats






Zombies vs. Vampires

A statistical study indicates that our pop culture churns out more vampire-related entertainment under Democratic administrations and more zombie stories under Republicans. The implication of the research is that those icons act as archetypes for each party.

Naturally, as a Republican I’m suspicious of “scientists” and the conclusions they draw from their so-called “research.” To determine whether these horror themes make sense as symbols of our political parties I think we should, as always, rely on a test of the gut level truthiness of those assumptions.

Are vampires a good metaphor for Democrats? Vampires aren’t all that interested in family life. You won’t find many in the suburbs. They’re worldly, well-spoken, and always have a lot of nice stuff, but none them seem to have a job. They seldom join the military. Their church attendance is erratic at best and they are extremely uncomfortable with expressions of faith. They tend to carry a metrosexual vibe; you don’t run into a lot of burly, flannel-wearing vampires.

Vampires can’t stand to see their own image accurately reflected and can’t cooperate with each other in more than a superficial way. And of course, they survive by draining the lifeblood from other creatures.

Hmmm…I don’t know.

On the other hand, do zombies represent a persuasive symbol for Republicans? Zombies clump together in groups. They work very hard, but they don’t seem to know why. The drooling undead are single-minded, absolutely determined, and extremely volatile. None of them are vegetarians. They are unreasonable and make lousy listeners. They have no apparent sex life, but you never seem to run out of them. They are dead inside and don’t know it.

Zombies are gullible and easy to outwit, but won’t ever stop attacking and never seem to be entirely defeated. Oh, and they want to eat your brain.

No, that comparison doesn’t really fit either.

These shabby attempts to tie political significance to cultural trends are generally a waste of time and this one is no exception. Granted, any sensible person would leave their wallet and other valuables at home before attending an Occupy Wall Street demonstration. You wouldn’t wander into a crowd of those folks looking like you had something someone else could use. But, vampires?

And sure, the last thing you’d want to flash at a Tea Party Rally is a big, fat, juicy brain. Listening to those bizarre lectures on the 10th Amendment can make you pray for someone to scoop your brainpan clean, but that doesn’t mean it will happen. At least, probably not.

Does the research prove that zombies and vampires are archetypes of the two parties? The suggestion is as ridiculous as “Global Warming.”

The Death of America…Again

In British tradition there is a one-line statement that announces the passing of a monarch:

“The King is dead. Long live the King.”

A political institution with a 1500 year history spanning war, conquest, and in several instances its own apparent extinction, can afford to take a little bad news in stride. The end of one reign is merely the dawn of the next. We, on the other hand, are seldom so stiff-lipped over the passing of an era.

Each generation of Americans seems to kvetch over their own morbid fantasy of our demise. During the ‘50’s the far-right fringe believed that the Communist juggernaut was “50-70% complete” with its conquest of America and Eisenhower was a conscious agent of the Soviet conspiracy.

In the ‘80’s we feared that the Japanese were going to dominate the world. Look how that turned out. Now some of us are convinced that a totalitarian third-world country that registers a GDP per capita less than the Dominican Republic is about to steal our thunder or that immigration, which has consistently enriched us is about to finish us off.

At the height of our power, we are running out of credible challengers to feed our favorite guilty obsession.

Pat Buchanan, is the latest in a string of commentators to announce the nation’s impending doom. The source of our demise this time around? Take your pick. Buchanan’s new book Suicide of a Superpower, blames America’s decline on just about every cultural innovation since the 16th Century.

He decries, in no particular order:

Vatican II, discrimination against white men, Muslims, birth control, the Pope’s failure to protect a Holocaust-denying bishop (it’s on pp.107-9), Martin Luther, Socialism, Commercialism, Global Capitalism, Secularism, Mexicans, blacks, desegregation, blacks who rape white women (p.243), diversity, free trade, black sororities, Chinese, the Voting Rights Act (pp.332-9), universities, “bigotry against white Christians,” immigrants, Republican efforts to win non-white votes (p.346), and, most of all, the “decline of the European Majority.”

Buchanan has created a comprehensive encyclopedia of terrors. Apparently he got tired before he could explain the dangers of spicy food and iPods. Expect an addendum.

America has always been radically secular and shockingly culturally diverse compared to standards of the contemporary world around it. At a time when European governments enforced one official state church as the only means to preserve civil order America tolerated an impossible diversity of belief. Congregationalists, Anabaptists, Baptists, Jews, Shakers, Quakers, Catholics, Episcopal, Presbyterians, Methodists, and frontier types with their own home-brewed factions came together in a frightening collection of faiths that could only coexist under a carefully secular government.

Buchanan insists that the only reason these folks were able to live together and build the greatest nation on Earth was that they all descended from the same Judeo-Christian heritage. Never mind, for a moment, that his history simply writes out of existence the contributions of a large percentage of Americans. The common European heritage he speaks of in such magical terms wasn’t nearly common enough to keep them from slaughtering each other without scruple in the old country. America has kept order for centuries by tolerating a shocking degree of cultural disorder.

The paranoid nativists warn that we are too culturally chaotic to survive. They are right. America dies over and over again in a thousand different ways, like the cells in your skin. The real test of a culture is not whether it dies, but whether it regenerates itself. What frightens these folks is our nerve-racking dynamism; our accelerating pace of reinvention.

We are in fact living through the end of white America. That “end” will be just as catastrophic as the end of Puritan American, the end of Colonial America, the end of White, Male Landowner America, the end of New England Whaling America, the end of Slaveholding America, the end of Rural America, the end of Pre-Industrial America, the end of Jim Crow America, the end of Industrial America and all of the other endings America has experienced in her short history.

In other words, we can be confident that this ending will be yet another in a jarring series of gateways to an ever freer, richer, and more powerful future. Such optimism may be out of step with the spirit of the moment, but it is still the most reasonable and sober expectation of what’s in store for us.

We are too independent to tolerate the claustrophobic, manufactured unity of a top-down cultural mandate. Conservatives may score a few short term points selling Buchanan’s white Tribalism, but in America the “culture warriors” of each new generation always lose. In the long run his vision is a blueprint for little more or less than Republican political failure. The nation, if necessary, will simply go on without us.

Our chaotic diversity, for all its many benefits, makes for a white-knuckled ride through history. Buckle up, because the next American Century will probably be even wilder than the last.

America is dead. Long live America.

Winning the Drug War

America passed a little-noted milestone in 2009 as drug overdoses outnumbered traffic fatalities for the first time ever to become the primary cause of accidental death. The cause? It wasn’t cocaine or heroin or some terrifying new criminal import. The doubling in drug related deaths over the past decade was driven by prescription drug use.

We spend billions of dollars each year on a campaign to limit access to illegal narcotics, but regardless where the drugs come from we remain a heavily medicated society. Anti-depressants alone are consumed on such a spectacular scale they are starting to be found in significant concentrations in river fish.

The time has come for us to finally turn the tide in the drug war by imposing realistic access regulations and abandoning our policy of absolute prohibition. It won’t happen overnight, but we need to start taking sensible steps toward narcotics regulation, starting with marijuana. Perhaps we could then turn our attention to the wider crisis of substance abuse.

Public enthusiasm for drug prohibition, especially as it relates to marijuana, is steadily eroding. State and local governments are looking for ways to make marijuana medically available and even rolling back enforcement aimed at recreational users. No Presidential nominee from either party since the ‘90’s could say that he’d never smoked pot, and George Bush even waffled on the subject of cocaine use. Marijuana has become far too pervasive for draconian prohibition to make sense.

State and local governments’ piecemeal efforts to ease marijuana prohibition can only create a muddle so long as Federal prohibition remains in place. States’ “medical” marijuana dispensaries and reduced user enforcement merely build islands of criminality, eroding the legitimacy of our laws while leaving the cartels’ business untouched. Anyone visiting a locally legal marijuana dispensary anywhere in the US remains vulnerable to arrest under Federal law and businesses can still be raided by authorities.

Representatives Ron Paul and Barney Frank, the oddest of all odd couples, this summer introduced legislation that would end the Federal prohibition on marijuana by simply removing it from the schedule of controlled substances. The legislation has gone nowhere. The public isn’t ready to treat marijuana as if it were basil. It is still a powerful narcotic deserving reasonable controls.

Voters may, however, be ready for a considered effort to change the way we handle illicit drugs, especially if that effort began with marijuana. The most significant barrier to public support for a reasonable drug regulation scheme is the absence of any commonsense Federal proposal.

What if people could purchase marijuana the way they buy Sudafed? The restrictions would be slightly more strict than the purchase of tequila, but easier than buying Vicodin or Oxycontin. Government would regulate the form, dosage, and delivery in the same manner as over the counter pharmaceuticals. It could only be sold in limited volumes, by a pharmacist, to a verified adult, in a form that meets quality and labeling standards.

What if farmers could be licensed to grow marijuana and sell it into a regulated channel? What if licensed adults could grow it in small quantities for their own use in the same way that people make their own beer or wine?

What impact would such a change have on the local dealers scattered throughout America (hint: how many black-market beer dealers are there in your neighborhood)?

Getting from strict prohibition to regulation would not be quick or easy, but it could be done and the public is ready to support it. Congress would have to amend the Controlled Substances Act, probably creating a sixth category for marijuana. The FDA would then issue regulations for the production, distribution, and possession of substances in that category. Congress would also have to amend the Controlled Substances Import and Export Act and the FDA and DEA would have to set up new controls for the substance passing through the border.

Even if Congress could be persuaded to endorse regulation, it might take years for the FDA and the DEA to work out the details of a new regulatory scheme. It would be up to the FDA, for example, to determine the form marijuana could take on the market. Would it only be available in a pill or could you purchase it in raw form? What versions or strengths would be available?

Would regulation increase marijuana use? Perhaps, but judging by how well and truly drugged up we already are it is tough to imagine that a marginal increase in marijuana use is going to make a meaningful difference. Compared to the tens of thousands of alcohol-related deaths each year in this country, the potential harm of marijuana seems like a marginal concern.

If someone, anyone, died last year from an overdose of marijuana it has escaped attention entirely. The official figure for marijuana overdose deaths appears to be zero. Marijuana use might lead to tragic levels of snack food consumption and escalating demand for Scooby Doo reruns, but compared to the damage we tolerate from alcohol and prescription drugs this might be a price worth paying.

It will not be easy to find the right mix of regulation and availability for narcotics, but we have to start exploring new options. Right now it’s easier for a high school kid to buy weed than it is for them to purchase beer or sinus medicine. Finding a way to make marijuana available through a controlled channel makes more sense than devoting billions of dollars to futile prohibition efforts.

Perhaps the $13 billion we spend each year trying to ban marijuana is a poor investment. When it comes to drug abuse we have bigger fish to fry…and they’re chock full of Prozac.